Race Analysis for Sunday, June 6

Race Analysis by Randy Goulding

RACE ONE: STOUTHEARTED will be stretching out for the first time and could be dangerous if he is allowed to set soft fractions. He is out of a mare that won going 1 1/4 miles so there is an excellent chance he'll go this far. TIMELESS DANCER made the lead early and then tired late in a race where the fractions were pretty quick and should be set for a big effort here. He was coming off of a three-month layoff and he is the only one in the field that has gone a middle distance this year. He should also get a nice trip from just off of Stouthearted who is no cinch to get the distance. SHENANDOAH RIVER drops to a new low following a decent effort in his latest sprint. He should appreciate the added distance and he attracts Perez who was the leading rider here last year and is currently tied for the top spot at the current meet.

RACE TWO: NOTORIOUSLY finished a strong second at this level two back and after being claimed she jumped up to tackle much tougher where she only got beat a couple of lengths despite having a rough trip. She fits better here and she could feast on what should be a lively pace. DESTINYSSILVERLACE just keeps winning and she'll be going for her fourth in a row here. She easily has the best last race Beyer Speed Figure and the horse she beat in her latest came back to win a $20K claimer at Emerald Downs May 31. She will have to deal with other speed but it looks like she can rate a bit and could get a nice trip from a stalking position. EMERALD CITY takes the plunge after an even race versus older conditional allowance horses in her latest. The horse that won her latest came right back to win another allowance race. She'll appreciate the easier company and the shape of the race could work in her favor.

RACE THREE: TEIDE couldn't have been more impressive in his initial sprint this year and he is a much better horse going a middle distance. He came back with a solid interim work and everything points to him being an easy winner again. He dominated the older handicap division last year and here's a scary thought - he could be a better horse this year. TOMMY DANZIGGER is also a much better horse going long and he can be a tough horse when he gets his head in front early, which could happen if ALMOST TIME doesn't run. SENOR ROJO is as honest as they come and could round out the exacta if a duel does develop up front.

RACE FOUR: TRIBAL SECRET just missed at this level in her initial start this year and figures to take a big step forward in her second start for a trainer who is 27 percent in the category over the past five years. There are also pretty strong jockey-trainer stats showing and the only concern is that she has had a lot of chances to get her second win. She could fall into it here, though. NORTHERN LASS comes out of the same race and she set the pace before getting a little late. She could be ready for a peak effort in the third start of her current form cycle and could be dangerous if she clears early. SHER faded in both of her starts this year but she was facing much tougher and she will certainly appreciate the easier company. LA BIKINA has been right there in both of her starts at this level and rates a big shot in what appears to be a wide-open event.

RACE FIVE: STREET PATROL ran an even race when he dropped to this level and looks like a horse that will improve going a middle distance. He also has a decent Tomlinson Figure for 1 1/16 miles and with his good tactical speed he should get a nice trip from a forward position. Over the past five years his trainer is 12 percent with horses stretching out for the first time. SLEW'S PRODIGY tired in a similar race but it was just his first start this year and he should be a lot tighter for this. His outside post is no bargain, however. MOONCORE figures to move forward in his second try at the distance and he should get a cozy trip from his inside post. MOSEL RIVER cuts his price in half and is bred for the distance. He also picked things up in his latest work and could be dangerous with the blinkers going on for the first time. KARAZTECA looks capable of winning what appears to be a race quite a few of them could win.

RACE SIX: REDNECK LEGEND ran a big race coming off of a one-year layoff and figures to take a significant move forward in her second start back. She has good speed and can either take them all the way or stalk. Either way, she looks like the one to beat. GOLDEN RATIO drops to a new low for her first start as a 4-year-old and she has been working well enough for her return. She also ran a big race coming off the bench last year. ME AND I overcame trouble to win her debut at Golden Gate last February and was claimed out of the race by the leading trainer here who has solid stats in all the relevant categories. She was a pretty impressive winner but it was a very weak field. None of the ones she beat have won a race since and one of the ones that dead-heated for third has been a beaten favorite in two maiden races at Northlands.

RACE SEVEN: THAT'S HOW WE ROLL was hung out pretty wide going around the first turn and then also went three-wide while making a strong move into a quick pace before giving it up late to SEAFAIR in her latest. She could be tough to handle with a better trip. DHARMA QUEEN lost a lot of ground when she went wide around the first turn so it wasn't surprising she got a little tired in the stretch when she returned from a long layoff in her latest. She was going around two-turns for the first time and should move forward with a race under her belt. She'll also appreciate the easier company she's facing with the drop to bottoms. SEAFAIR had a perfect tip when she came from off the pace to beat a few of these in a $6,500 claiming race and should get a similar trip here. She is the only horse in the field with more than a single win and has to be considered a major threat to add another to her total here.

RACE EIGHT: VICTORY CLAP got off to a poor start when he finished third as the favorite in a B.C.-bred race for this price and should make amends with a better beginning. GRAND HUNTER made a nice move around the stretch turn and then tired mid-stretch when he came back fro a long layoff in his latest. He should be tighter for this and he is taking a significant drop in price. LORD CARLTON is also dropping following an even effort in his first start this year. Blinkers go on and it wouldn't be surprising to see him get involved during the early stages. WHATCHADOINTODAY was up close to the pace and then held on reasonably well in the same race the top pick exits. He is another one that figures to move forward in his second start back and at the least should be part of any exotics ticket.